The Kabul Klipper is in town. We had dinner last night at Cadillac Ranch. Unfortunately, we were there too early for the Kabul Klipper to ride the mechanical bull, as he was rarin’ to do. So instead of attempting to remain aloft a large bucking robotic version of the Golden CAAF, we talked about — what else? — whether PTAs are overused in the military justice system.
The premise of an article in the new edition of the Air Force JAG Corps’ Reporter is that SJAs don’t properly evaluate the downside of PTAs when advising CAs and thereby recommend entering into PTAs more often than they should. See Colonel Kenneth M. Theurer & James W. Russell III, Pretrial Agreements: The Hidden Cost, Reporter, Vol. 38, No. 2, at 2 (2011). The article is on the fourth page at this link. The article includes a number of fascinating statistics concerning the use of PTAs in the Air Force over time. The Kabul Klipper and I are curious as to what CAAFlog’s readers think of the article’s thesis. So please read it. Done? Now discuss.
The article cites a fascinating article from the Journal of Empirical Legal Studies of which I was previously unaware: Patricia D. Breen, The Trial Penalty and Jury Sentencing: A Study of Air Force Courts-martial, 8 J. Emperical Legal Studies 206 (2011). That article provides the results of a survey of almost every Air Force GCM and SPCM tried in 2005 and 2006. Among the interesting findings: when an accused pleads guilty, members typically adjudge 35% less confinement than do military judges. Another interesting finding: military judges in practice seem to provide no discount for pleading guilty: “In the Air Force convicted subsample, average sentences after a judge trial are not significantly different from judge guilty plea sentences, thus indicating the offenders in the Air Force receive an added benefit when they assert their right to a trial because they retain the possibility of an acquittal.” Id. at 229.
While both articles are fascinating, they also provide still more evidence that something shouldn’t be believed just because it’s been published in a journal. For example, the Journal of Empirical Legal Studies article states: “Unlike all other offenses, premeditated murder has a mandatory minimum of life in prison (MCM 2004; Art. 118).” Id. at 209 n.8. Not only is that wrong; it’s disproved by its own citation. Article 118 states that both premeditated murder and felony murder carry a minimum sentence of confinement for life. Art. 118, UCMJ, 10 U.S.C. § 918 (2006). Nor are those the only UCMJ offenses that carry a mandatory minimum. See Art. 106, UCMJ, 10 U.S.C. § 906 (2006). The article also states, “The maximum punishment for a general court-martial is what the Uniform Code of Military Justice (UCMJ) specifies for that offense.” 8 J. Empirical Legal Studies at 9. But for non-capital offenses, the UCMJ merely says that the accused ”shall be punished as a court-martial may direct.” It is the President, in Part IV of the MCM, who provides the maximum punishment for those offenses, doing so pursuant to Article 56.
The Reporter article also contained a passage that left me scratching my head. The article states, “In fact, a recent study suggests that at least within the Air Force, the accused, on average, does not receive any real benefit in terms of adjudged sentence in return for a plea of guilty. In essence, the only benefit to the accused is the certainty generated by the sentence limitation provided by the pretrial agreement.” Reporter, Vol. 38, No. 2, at 8 (footnote omitted). Well, isn’t it unsurprising that the benefit the accused obtains from a PTA is the sentence cap? Notice that the Reporter article says that on average, there’s no real benefit in terms of adjudged sentences for a guilty plea. That doesn’t mean that there’s no benefit in terms of approved sentences. Nor do I see anything in the Journal of Empirical Legal Studies article indicating how often the defense “beats the deal” in a PTA case and how often it doesn’t. (Footnote 45 on page 227 doesn’t speak to that issue, but just to the ratio of sentence reductions due to CA actions in members sentencing guilty plea cases versus judge alone sentencing guilty plea cases.) If it’s often the case that the deal is better than the adjudged sentence, then the accused gets more than “certainty” as a result of entering the PTA; the accused gets a lighter sentence. Additionally, the Journal of Empirical Legal Studies article didn’t study whether charges were dropped due to a PTA; this could be another real benefit to the accused of entering into a PTA. Another potential unstudied benefit of PTAs is dealing a case to a lower forum. So in assessing the Reporter article’s thesis, the reader shoud discount the claim that PTAs don’t result in any real benefit to the accused– a proposition that appears to be unsupported by the source it cites in support of that proposition.